| 基于GM(1,1)模型的中国体育产业增加值和总规模的预测 |
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| 引用本文：林 宇1，周 慧2,3，胡 倩1.基于GM(1,1)模型的中国体育产业增加值和总规模的预测[J].经济数学,2019,(4):106-110 |
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| 中文摘要:以中国2006-2017年的体育产业总规模和增加值数据为基础，采用GM(1,1)模型，预测我国体育产业未来的发展趋势.结果显示，中国体育产业总规模和体育产业增加值预测模型的平均相对误差分别为0.28%和2.64%，后验差比值分别为0.079和0.095，小概率误差均为1，表明预测模型的精度较优，预测结果可信可靠.从预测结果来看，我国体育产业的发展将呈现出蓬勃发展之势. |
| 中文关键词:数理经济学 灰色预测 GM(1,1)模型 体育产业 |
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| Application of the Grey Prediction Model GM(1,1)on the Chinese Sports Industry’s Development Forecast |
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| Abstract:Based on the data of the Chinese sports industry from 2006 to 2017, and the grey prediction model GM(1,1) is applied to calculate the future development trend of the Chinese sports industry. The results show that the average relative errors are 0.28% and 2.64% respectively, the posterior error ratios are 0.079 and 0.095 respectively, and all the small probability errors are 1. The precision of the prediction model is super and the forecast results are credible and reliable. The results show that the Chinese sports industry will be a booming industry. |
| keywords:mathematical economics grey prediction model GM(1,1) sports industry |
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