辽宁省私家车保有量增长及影响因素分析
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引用本文:王 翠.辽宁省私家车保有量增长及影响因素分析[J].经济数学,2017,(4):43-47
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作者单位
王 翠 (辽宁师范大学 数学学院辽宁 大连 116029) 
中文摘要:近年来,辽宁省的经济稳步发展,私家车保有量在快速上升.私家车保有量的变化趋势与辽宁省的基础设施建设、城市发展、交通以及环保等政策的制定有着密切联系,因此,准确的预测未来辽宁省私家车保有量有重要意义.本文以辽宁省1996~2015年私家车发展情况为研究对象,运用统计学及计量经济学相关知识,建立多元线性回归模型来分析私家车保有量的影响因素,经过模型检验和修正,进而分析各因素与保有量的影响关系.最后,根据得到的研究结果,对未来几年辽宁省私家车保有量进行预测并针对辽宁特殊的社会经济状况,为改善建成环境中潜藏着的复杂问题提出相关政策和建议.
中文关键词:私家车保有量  增长率  影响因素  多元回归
 
Model Analysis of Growth and Influencing Factors of Private Car Ownership in Liaoning Province
Abstract:In recent years, the economy of Liaoning Province has developed steadily, and the number of private car ownership has been increasing rapidly. The change trend of private car ownership, and infrastructure construction in Liaoning, the city development, transportation and environmental protection policies are closely linked. Therefore, the accurate prediction of the number of Liaoning private cars has important significance. This paper takes the private car in Liaoning Province from 1996 to 2015 as the research object, uses statistics and econometrics and establishes multiple linear regression model to analyze the influencing factors of the number of private cars . Then we analyze the factors influencing the amount of relationship with paulthrough model test and correction . Finally, according to the research results, we get private car ownership forecast of Liaoning Province in the next few years. For Liaoning special economic situation, we put forward relevant policies and suggestions to improve the completion of complex problems hidden in the environment.
keywords:private car ownership  growth rate  influence factor  multiple regression
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