财政扶持及金融联动对地方农民收入影响的空间计量分析
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引用本文:胡宗义,李鹏.财政扶持及金融联动对地方农民收入影响的空间计量分析[J].经济数学,2012,(4):60-66
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作者单位
胡宗义,李鹏 (湖南大学 金融与统计学院湖南 长沙410079) 
中文摘要:运用空间计量的方法对我国1998—2008年31个省的农民收入及其影响因素数据进行了实证分析.实证结果表明:我国各省市农民收入之间存在明显的空间相关性.从短期来看,农村投资与城市化进程对农民收入增长有显著的促进作用,农村金融与地方财政支持的影响不显著,农村劳动力占农村总人口比重与农业产值占农林渔牧产值比重对农民收入增长具有负向作用.从长期来看,地区城市化水平、农村金融和农村劳动力占比对农村收入的影响不明显,而农村财政投入和农村固定资产投资起到正向的促进作用,农业产值占农林渔牧产值比重起到抑制作用.随着农村经济的发展,影响农民收入的因素进一步多元化,空间因素的影响更加明显.
中文关键词:农民收入  空间相关性  空间计量
 
An Spacial Econometrics Analysis on the Financial Linkage Relationship between Farmers’Income and Local Finance Support
Abstract:Based on the data of 1998—2008 in 31 provinces,this paper used spatial econometrics to analyze the factors promoting farmer’s income in China.The result shows that the farmer’s income in different areas has a strong spatial dependence. In the short term,rural investment and urbanization have played a significant role in promoting the growth of farmers' income in China.While the influence of rural finance and local financial support is not significant .The proportion of rural labor force and agricultural output has negative effect on the growth of farmers' income. In the long run, the influence of urbanization, rural finance and the proportion of rural labor force is not significant. While the rural investment and local financial support have played a positive role.And the proportion of agricultural output has negative effect on the income of farmers.With the development of rural economy, the factors that influence the farmers' income are further diversified, and the influence of spacial factors is more significant.
keywords:income of farmers  spatial dependence  spacial econometrics
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